Israeli Official Warns Attack on Iran “Inevitable” Without Missile Deal

A senior Israeli military official has warned that a military strike on Iran would be “inevitable” if the United States fails to reach an agreement with Tehran to limit its ballistic missile program.

According to the Israeli news outlet Ynet, the official said Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is expected to share intelligence related to the threat during his anticipated meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump next Monday. The official added that Israel may be forced to act if diplomatic efforts to reach an agreement collapse.

He described Iran’s ballistic missile capabilities as “extremely dangerous,” warning that the launch of a large number of such missiles toward Israel could cause destruction comparable to the impact of a small nuclear bomb. The remarks come amid reports suggesting Iran is preparing for mass production of missiles capable of launching hundreds at a time, potentially as a deterrent against Israel in the event of renewed conflict.

On Tuesday, Netanyahu said Israel is “aware” that Iran has recently conducted what he described as “exercises” and noted that he would discuss Iran’s activities with the U.S. president. He reiterated earlier warnings that any action by Iran would be met with a “very harsh” response, amid Israeli concerns that recent missile-related activity may be part of efforts to rebuild Iran’s ballistic arsenal following the 12-day war in June.

Netanyahu’s comments followed reports inside Iran of missile tests or drills in several provinces. Iranian state television later denied that any missile exercises or tests had taken place, after the Fars News Agency reported sightings of white smoke that it attributed to missile maneuvers in multiple areas. At the same time, Iran’s Channel One aired a propaganda segment replaying footage from the June attacks and warned Israel of a “missile hell.”

On Monday, Israeli Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir hinted at the possibility of renewed strikes on Iran, saying the Israeli military would target Israel’s enemies “wherever necessary, whether on near or distant fronts.” Zamir described the campaign against Iran as central to what he called the “longest and most complex war” in Israel’s history, accusing Tehran of financing and arming forces surrounding Israel on multiple fronts.

In response, Iranian Armed Forces spokesperson Abolfazl Shekarchi said on Tuesday that Iran’s naval, ground, and missile capabilities are “ready to confront any scenario imposed by the enemy,” adding that a large portion of these capabilities “has not yet been used.”

A report published Sunday by Axios said Israeli officials informed the Trump administration over the weekend that Iran’s recent missile-related movements have raised growing concern. However, the intelligence available so far reportedly indicates only internal troop movements within Iran. The report added that Israel’s tolerance for risk has significantly decreased since the aftermath of Hamas’ October 7, 2023 attack.

“Axios” quoted an Israeli source as saying, “The likelihood of an Iranian attack is less than 50 percent, but no one is willing to take the risk and say this is just an exercise.”

Israeli and U.S. officials have warned that mutual miscalculation could lead to an unintended war if either side assumes the other is preparing for an imminent strike and acts preemptively.

Israeli intelligence assessments indicate early signs that Iran is accelerating efforts to rebuild its missile capabilities. According to Israeli estimates, Iran emerged from the June conflict with approximately 1,500 missiles, down from about 3,000 before the war. Of roughly 400 missile launchers, about 200 are believed to remain operational.

On June 13, Israel launched a wide-ranging attack on strategic facilities inside Iran, resulting in the deaths of dozens of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders, officials, and individuals linked to Iran’s nuclear program. The United States later joined the conflict by striking Iranian nuclear sites.

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